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When scientists consider whether their research will end the world

Are There Examples of Overhang for Other Technologies?

AI Impacts Quarterlyish Newsletter, Jul-Oct 2023

New report: A review of the empirical evidence for existential risk from AI via misaligned power-seeking

Muddling Along Is More Likely Than Dystopia

A mapping of claims about AI risk

My Current Thoughts on the AI Strategic Landscape

US public opinion on AI, September 2023

Cruxes for overhang

My favorite AI governance research this year so far

AI Impacts Quarterly Newsletter, Apr-Jun 2023

Horizontal and Vertical Integration

A TAI which kills all humans might also doom itself

How bad a future do ML researchers expect?

The Broader Fossil Fuel Community

AI Impacts Quarterly Newsletter, Jan-Mar 2023

What stops valuable technologies from being pursued?

Superintelligence Is Not Omniscience

A policy guaranteed to increase AI timelines

You Can't Predict a Game of Pinball

How popular is ChatGPT? Part 2: slower growth than Pokémon GO

Scoring forecasts from the 2016 “Expert Survey on Progress in AI”

How popular is ChatGPT? Part 1: more popular than Taylor Swift

The public supports regulating AI for safety

Whole Bird Emulation requires Quantum Mechanics

Framing AI strategy

Product safety is a poor model for AI governance

We don't trade with ants

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