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Winners of the Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy
We’re delighted to announce the winners of the Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy.
Oct 28
•
Owen Cotton-Barratt
4
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Winners of the Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy
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September 2024
What happens if you present 500 people with an argument that AI is risky?
Recently, Nathan Young and I wrote about arguments for AI risk and put them on the AI Impacts wiki. In the process, we ran a casual little survey of the…
Sep 4
•
Katja Grace
and
Nathan Young
7
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What happens if you present 500 people with an argument that AI is risky?
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August 2024
Ten arguments that AI is an existential risk
and polls on which are the most compelling
Aug 13
•
Katja Grace
and
Nathan Young
14
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Ten arguments that AI is an existential risk
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6
July 2024
Paper Summary: Princes and Merchants: European City Growth Before the Industrial Revolution
Freer societies have faster economic growth.
Jul 15
•
Jeffrey Heninger
1
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Paper Summary: Princes and Merchants: European City Growth Before the Industrial Revolution
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Paper Summary: The Effects of Communicating Uncertainty on Public Trust in Facts and Numbers
Numerically expressing uncertainty when talking to the public is fine. It causes people to be less confident in the number itself (as it should), but…
Jul 9
•
Jeffrey Heninger
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Paper Summary: The Effects of Communicating Uncertainty on Public Trust in Facts and Numbers
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1
May 2024
Advice for Activists from the History of Environmentalism
Other movements should try to avoid becoming as partisan as the environmental movement. Partisanship did not make environmentalism more popular, it made…
May 16
•
Jeffrey Heninger
1
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Advice for Activists from the History of Environmentalism
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Was Partisanship Good for the Environmental Movement?
Rising partisanship did not make environmentalism more popular or politically effective. Instead, it saw flat or falling overall public opinion, fewer…
May 15
•
Jeffrey Heninger
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Was Partisanship Good for the Environmental Movement?
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A Narrative History of Environmentalism's Partisanship
This post describes the history of how particular partisan alliances were made involving the environmental movement between 1980 and 2008. Since…
May 14
•
Jeffrey Heninger
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A Narrative History of Environmentalism's Partisanship
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Environmentalism in the United States Is Unusually Partisan
Environmentalism in the United States is unusually partisan, compared to other issues, compared to other countries, and compared to the United States…
May 13
•
Jeffrey Heninger
1
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Environmentalism in the United States Is Unusually Partisan
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The first future and the best future
It seems to me worth trying to slow down AI development to steer successfully around the shoals of extinction and out to utopia.
Published on world spirit sock stack
•
May 2
Partial value takeover without world takeover
There are lots of ways to spread values a bit
Published on world spirit sock stack
•
May 2
April 2024
Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy — $25k in prizes
We’re pleased to announce an essay competition on the automation of wisdom and philosophy. Submissions are due by July 14th. The first prize is $10,000…
Apr 15
11
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Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy — $25k in prizes
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1
March 2024
Historical Note: Was a Subway in New York City Inevitable?
The first serious attempt at building a subway in New York City occurred in 1866. The following decades saw a sequence of 15 failed attempts, and the…
Mar 30
•
Jeffrey Heninger
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Historical Note: Was a Subway in New York City Inevitable?
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January 2024
Commonwealth Fusion Systems is the Same Scale as OpenAI
Artificial intelligence is not the only exciting emerging technology.
Jan 12
•
Jeffrey Heninger
4
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Commonwealth Fusion Systems is the Same Scale as OpenAI
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Survey of 2,778 AI authors: six parts in pictures
The 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI is out, this time with 2778 participants from six top AI venues (up from about 700 and two in the 2022 ESPAI…
Jan 4
•
Katja Grace
34
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Survey of 2,778 AI authors: six parts in pictures
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December 2023
When scientists consider whether their research will end the world
Five examples and what we can take away from them
Dec 19, 2023
•
Harlan Stewart
13
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When scientists consider whether their research will end the world
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2
Are There Examples of Overhang for Other Technologies?
No.
Dec 13, 2023
•
Jeffrey Heninger
6
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Are There Examples of Overhang for Other Technologies?
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November 2023
AI Impacts Quarterlyish Newsletter, Jul-Oct 2023
Every quarter, we have a newsletter with updates on what’s happening at AI Impacts, with an emphasis on what we’ve been working on.
Nov 15, 2023
•
Harlan Stewart
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AI Impacts Quarterlyish Newsletter, Jul-Oct 2023
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New report: A review of the empirical evidence for existential risk from AI via misaligned power-seeking
Visiting researcher Rose Hadshar recently published a review of some evidence for existential risk from AI, focused on empirical evidence for…
Nov 6, 2023
•
Harlan Stewart
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New report: A review of the empirical evidence for existential risk from AI via misaligned power-seeking
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October 2023
Muddling Along Is More Likely Than Dystopia
Summary: There are historical precedents where bans or crushing regulations stop the progress of technology in one industry, while progress in the rest…
Oct 20, 2023
•
Jeffrey Heninger
2
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Muddling Along Is More Likely Than Dystopia
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2
A mapping of claims about AI risk
Many people have argued that AI poses an existential risk, using lots of different terms.
Oct 18, 2023
•
Rose Hadshar
1
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A mapping of claims about AI risk
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September 2023
My Current Thoughts on the AI Strategic Landscape
I started working at AI Impacts slightly less than a year ago.
Sep 28, 2023
•
Jeffrey Heninger
3
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My Current Thoughts on the AI Strategic Landscape
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3
US public opinion on AI, September 2023
I am aware of some 28 high-quality public surveys on AI this year so far.
Sep 18, 2023
•
Zach Stein-Perlman
2
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US public opinion on AI, September 2023
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Cruxes for overhang
What would cause rapid increase in training compute, and how would that matter?
Sep 14, 2023
•
Zach Stein-Perlman
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Cruxes for overhang
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