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Reanalyzing the 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI
With new charts, and a newly open-source codebase
Dec 16, 2024
•
Ben Weinstein-Raun
5
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Reanalyzing the 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI
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October 2024
Winners of the Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy
We’re delighted to announce the winners of the Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy.
Oct 28, 2024
•
Owen Cotton-Barratt
4
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Winners of the Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy
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September 2024
What happens if you present 500 people with an argument that AI is risky?
Recently, Nathan Young and I wrote about arguments for AI risk and put them on the AI Impacts wiki. In the process, we ran a casual little survey of the…
Sep 4, 2024
•
Katja Grace
and
Nathan Young
8
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What happens if you present 500 people with an argument that AI is risky?
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August 2024
Ten arguments that AI is an existential risk
and polls on which are the most compelling
Aug 13, 2024
•
Katja Grace
and
Nathan Young
16
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Ten arguments that AI is an existential risk
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6
July 2024
Paper Summary: Princes and Merchants: European City Growth Before the Industrial Revolution
Freer societies have faster economic growth.
Jul 15, 2024
•
Jeffrey Heninger
1
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Paper Summary: Princes and Merchants: European City Growth Before the Industrial Revolution
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Paper Summary: The Effects of Communicating Uncertainty on Public Trust in Facts and Numbers
Numerically expressing uncertainty when talking to the public is fine. It causes people to be less confident in the number itself (as it should), but…
Jul 9, 2024
•
Jeffrey Heninger
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Paper Summary: The Effects of Communicating Uncertainty on Public Trust in Facts and Numbers
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1
May 2024
Advice for Activists from the History of Environmentalism
Other movements should try to avoid becoming as partisan as the environmental movement. Partisanship did not make environmentalism more popular, it made…
May 16, 2024
•
Jeffrey Heninger
1
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Advice for Activists from the History of Environmentalism
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Was Partisanship Good for the Environmental Movement?
Rising partisanship did not make environmentalism more popular or politically effective. Instead, it saw flat or falling overall public opinion, fewer…
May 15, 2024
•
Jeffrey Heninger
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Was Partisanship Good for the Environmental Movement?
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A Narrative History of Environmentalism's Partisanship
This post describes the history of how particular partisan alliances were made involving the environmental movement between 1980 and 2008. Since…
May 14, 2024
•
Jeffrey Heninger
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A Narrative History of Environmentalism's Partisanship
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Environmentalism in the United States Is Unusually Partisan
Environmentalism in the United States is unusually partisan, compared to other issues, compared to other countries, and compared to the United States…
May 13, 2024
•
Jeffrey Heninger
1
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Environmentalism in the United States Is Unusually Partisan
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The first future and the best future
It seems to me worth trying to slow down AI development to steer successfully around the shoals of extinction and out to utopia.
Published on world spirit sock stack
•
May 2, 2024
Partial value takeover without world takeover
There are lots of ways to spread values a bit
Published on world spirit sock stack
•
May 2, 2024
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