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Paper Summary: Princes and Merchants: European City Growth Before the Industrial Revolution
Freer societies have faster economic growth.
Jul 15
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Jeffrey Heninger
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Paper Summary: Princes and Merchants: European City Growth Before the Industrial Revolution
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Paper Summary: The Effects of Communicating Uncertainty on Public Trust in Facts and Numbers
Numerically expressing uncertainty when talking to the public is fine. It causes people to be less confident in the number itself (as it should), but…
Jul 9
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Jeffrey Heninger
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Paper Summary: The Effects of Communicating Uncertainty on Public Trust in Facts and Numbers
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May 2024
Advice for Activists from the History of Environmentalism
Other movements should try to avoid becoming as partisan as the environmental movement. Partisanship did not make environmentalism more popular, it made…
May 16
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Jeffrey Heninger
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Advice for Activists from the History of Environmentalism
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Was Partisanship Good for the Environmental Movement?
Rising partisanship did not make environmentalism more popular or politically effective. Instead, it saw flat or falling overall public opinion, fewer…
May 15
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Jeffrey Heninger
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Was Partisanship Good for the Environmental Movement?
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A Narrative History of Environmentalism's Partisanship
This post describes the history of how particular partisan alliances were made involving the environmental movement between 1980 and 2008. Since…
May 14
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Jeffrey Heninger
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A Narrative History of Environmentalism's Partisanship
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Environmentalism in the United States Is Unusually Partisan
Environmentalism in the United States is unusually partisan, compared to other issues, compared to other countries, and compared to the United States…
May 13
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Jeffrey Heninger
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Environmentalism in the United States Is Unusually Partisan
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The first future and the best future
It seems to me worth trying to slow down AI development to steer successfully around the shoals of extinction and out to utopia. But I was thinking…
Published on world spirit sock stack
•
May 2
Partial value takeover without world takeover
There are lots of ways to spread values a bit
Published on world spirit sock stack
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May 2
April 2024
Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy — $25k in prizes
We’re pleased to announce an essay competition on the automation of wisdom and philosophy. Submissions are due by July 14th. The first prize is $10,000…
Apr 15
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Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy — $25k in prizes
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March 2024
Historical Note: Was a Subway in New York City Inevitable?
The first serious attempt at building a subway in New York City occurred in 1866. The following decades saw a sequence of 15 failed attempts, and the…
Mar 30
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Jeffrey Heninger
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Historical Note: Was a Subway in New York City Inevitable?
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January 2024
Commonwealth Fusion Systems is the Same Scale as OpenAI
Artificial intelligence is not the only exciting emerging technology. Another one that I am personally familiar with is fusion.
Jan 12
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Jeffrey Heninger
4
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Commonwealth Fusion Systems is the Same Scale as OpenAI
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Survey of 2,778 AI authors: six parts in pictures
The 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI is out, this time with 2778 participants from six top AI venues (up from about 700 and two in the 2022 ESPAI…
Jan 4
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Katja Grace
31
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Survey of 2,778 AI authors: six parts in pictures
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