AI Impacts blog

FAQ: Expert Survey on Progress in AI methodology

Context

Oct 31 • 

Katja Grace

6

3

December 2024

Reanalyzing the 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI

With new charts, and a newly open-source codebase

Dec 16, 2024 • 

Ben Weinstein-Raun

6

October 2024

Winners of the Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy

We’re delighted to announce the winners of the Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy.

Oct 28, 2024 • 

Owen Cotton-Barratt

4

2

1

September 2024

What happens if you present 500 people with an argument that AI is risky?

Recently, Nathan Young and I wrote about arguments for AI risk and put them on the AI Impacts wiki. In the process, we ran a casual little survey of the…

Sep 4, 2024 • 

Katja Grace

 and 

Nathan Young

8

6

1

August 2024

Ten arguments that AI is an existential risk

and polls on which are the most compelling

Aug 13, 2024 • 

Katja Grace

 and 

Nathan Young

19

9

3

July 2024

Paper Summary: Princes and Merchants: European City Growth Before the Industrial Revolution

Freer societies have faster economic growth.

Jul 15, 2024 • 

Jeffrey Heninger

1

1

Paper Summary: The Effects of Communicating Uncertainty on Public Trust in Facts and Numbers

Numerically expressing uncertainty when talking to the public is fine. It causes people to be less confident in the number itself (as it should), but…

Jul 9, 2024 • 

Jeffrey Heninger

1

May 2024

Advice for Activists from the History of Environmentalism

Other movements should try to avoid becoming as partisan as the environmental movement. Partisanship did not make environmentalism more popular, it made…

May 16, 2024 • 

Jeffrey Heninger

1

Was Partisanship Good for the Environmental Movement?

Rising partisanship did not make environmentalism more popular or politically effective. Instead, it saw flat or falling overall public opinion, fewer…

May 15, 2024 • 

Jeffrey Heninger

A Narrative History of Environmentalism's Partisanship

This post describes the history of how particular partisan alliances were made involving the environmental movement between 1980 and 2008. Since…

May 14, 2024 • 

Jeffrey Heninger

Environmentalism in the United States Is Unusually Partisan

Environmentalism in the United States is unusually partisan, compared to other issues, compared to other countries, and compared to the United States…

May 13, 2024 • 

Jeffrey Heninger

1

The first future and the best future

It seems to me worth trying to slow down AI development to steer successfully around the shoals of extinction and out to utopia.

Published on world spirit sock stack • May 2, 2024