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AI Impacts Quarterlyish Newsletter, Jul-Oct 2023
Every quarter, we have a newsletter with updates on what’s happening at AI Impacts, with an emphasis on what we’ve been working on. You can see past…
Nov 15
•
Harlan Stewart
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AI Impacts Quarterlyish Newsletter, Jul-Oct 2023
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New report: A review of the empirical evidence for existential risk from AI via misaligned power-seeking
Visiting researcher Rose Hadshar recently published a review of some evidence for existential risk from AI, focused on empirical evidence for…
Nov 6
•
Harlan Stewart
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New report: A review of the empirical evidence for existential risk from AI via misaligned power-seeking
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October 2023
Muddling Along Is More Likely Than Dystopia
Summary: There are historical precedents where bans or crushing regulations stop the progress of technology in one industry, while progress in the rest…
Oct 20
•
Jeffrey Heninger
2
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Muddling Along Is More Likely Than Dystopia
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A mapping of claims about AI risk
Many people have argued that AI poses an existential risk, using lots of different terms. This spreadsheet maps some of these claims to one another…
Oct 18
•
Rose Hadshar
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A mapping of claims about AI risk
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September 2023
My Current Thoughts on the AI Strategic Landscape
I started working at AI Impacts slightly less than a year ago. Before then, I was not following developments in either AI or AI safety. I do not…
Sep 28
•
Jeffrey Heninger
2
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My Current Thoughts on the AI Strategic Landscape
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US public opinion on AI, September 2023
I am aware of some 28 high-quality public surveys on AI this year so far. I collected them in this wiki page. Claims are mostly not justified here; the…
Sep 18
•
Zach Stein-Perlman
2
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US public opinion on AI, September 2023
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Cruxes for overhang
What would cause rapid increase in training compute, and how would that matter?
Sep 14
•
Zach Stein-Perlman
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Cruxes for overhang
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July 2023
My favorite AI governance research this year so far
I collected my favorite public pieces of research on AI strategy, governance, and forecasting from 2023 so far. If you're a researcher, I encourage you…
Jul 20
•
Zach Stein-Perlman
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My favorite AI governance research this year so far
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AI Impacts Quarterly Newsletter, Apr-Jun 2023
Every quarter, we have a newsletter with updates on what’s happening at AI Impacts, with an emphasis on what we’ve been working on. You can see past…
Jul 14
•
Harlan Stewart
and
Rick Korzekwa
1
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AI Impacts Quarterly Newsletter, Apr-Jun 2023
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Horizontal and Vertical Integration
Slowing AI is easiest if AI companies are horizontally integrated, but not vertically integrated.
Jul 1
•
Jeffrey Heninger
1
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Horizontal and Vertical Integration
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May 2023
A TAI which kills all humans might also doom itself
A TAI which kills all humans, without first ensuring that it is capable of doing everything required for its supply chain, takes a risk of destroying…
May 16
•
Jeffrey Heninger
5
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A TAI which kills all humans might also doom itself
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How bad a future do ML researchers expect?
Originally published 8 March 2023 In our survey last year, we asked publishing machine learning researchers how they would divide probability over the…
May 10
•
Katja Grace
4
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How bad a future do ML researchers expect?
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