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AI Impacts Quarterlyish Newsletter, Jul-Oct 2023
Every quarter, we have a newsletter with updates on what’s happening at AI Impacts, with an emphasis on what we’ve been working on. You can see past…
 • 
Harlan Stewart
How bad a future do ML researchers expect?
Originally published 8 March 2023 In our survey last year, we asked publishing machine learning researchers how they would divide probability over the…
 • 
Katja Grace
New report: A review of the empirical evidence for existential risk from AI via misaligned power-seeking
Visiting researcher Rose Hadshar recently published a review of some evidence for existential risk from AI, focused on empirical evidence for…
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Harlan Stewart
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Let's think about slowing down AI
 • Katja Grace
A TAI which kills all humans might also doom itself
 • Jeffrey Heninger
3
A policy guaranteed to increase AI timelines
 • Rick Korzekwa
My Current Thoughts on the AI Strategic Landscape
 • Jeffrey Heninger
3
How bad a future do ML researchers expect?
 • Katja Grace
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Muddling Along Is More Likely Than Dystopia
Summary: There are historical precedents where bans or crushing regulations stop the progress of technology in one industry, while progress in the rest…
 • 
Jeffrey Heninger
2
A mapping of claims about AI risk
Many people have argued that AI poses an existential risk, using lots of different terms. This spreadsheet maps some of these claims to one another…
 • 
Rose Hadshar
My Current Thoughts on the AI Strategic Landscape
I started working at AI Impacts slightly less than a year ago. Before then, I was not following developments in either AI or AI safety. I do not…
 • 
Jeffrey Heninger
3
US public opinion on AI, September 2023
I am aware of some 28 high-quality public surveys on AI this year so far. I collected them in this wiki page. Claims are mostly not justified here; the…
 • 
Zach Stein-Perlman
Cruxes for overhang
What would cause rapid increase in training compute, and how would that matter?
 • 
Zach Stein-Perlman
2
My favorite AI governance research this year so far
I collected my favorite public pieces of research on AI strategy, governance, and forecasting from 2023 so far. If you're a researcher, I encourage you…
 • 
Zach Stein-Perlman
AI Impacts Quarterly Newsletter, Apr-Jun 2023
Every quarter, we have a newsletter with updates on what’s happening at AI Impacts, with an emphasis on what we’ve been working on. You can see past…
 • 
Harlan Stewart
 and 
Rick Korzekwa
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A blog from AI Impacts about the future of artificial intelligence
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