No.
I expect many technologies to not develop a hardware overhang because the bottleneck is R&D into the technology in question itself. For AI, the bottleneck might be compute, which will keep getting cheaper regardless of whether we pause frontier AI.
This is a really nice analysis of something that it would not have occurred to me would be susceptible to analysis. Nicely done!
I expect many technologies to not develop a hardware overhang because the bottleneck is R&D into the technology in question itself. For AI, the bottleneck might be compute, which will keep getting cheaper regardless of whether we pause frontier AI.
This is a really nice analysis of something that it would not have occurred to me would be susceptible to analysis. Nicely done!