The 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI is out, this time with 2778 participants from six top AI venues (up from about 700 and two in the 2022 ESPAI), making it probably the biggest ever survey of AI researchers. People answered in October, an eventful fourteen months after the 2022 survey, which had mostly identical questions for comparison.
A couple of comments from a retired person who has just found your website and read this post.
This survey is a great idea. I hope you do it every year. Possible additional questions for survey: (1) How much does use of AI currently accelerate development of AI? (2) Please list ways in which AI is currently displacing people in the workforce. For questions that involve written answers, you could have AI summarize responses from thousands of people.
I wonder what Yann LeCun makes of this poll. With his optimistic pronouncements, he seems to be a bit of an outlier in the AI research community.