The 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI is out, this time with 2778 participants from six top AI venues (up from about 700 and two in the 2022 ESPAI), making it probably the biggest ever survey of AI researchers.
A couple of comments from a retired person who has just found your website and read this post.
This survey is a great idea. I hope you do it every year. Possible additional questions for survey: (1) How much does use of AI currently accelerate development of AI? (2) Please list ways in which AI is currently displacing people in the workforce. For questions that involve written answers, you could have AI summarize responses from thousands of people.
Congratulations for this awesome work! Furthermore, I think it is important to introduce other metrics regarding environmental issues. For example: how much AI researchers think AI development would actually help solving ecological crisis rather than worsening it? Ecological crisis include various topics such as climate change and biodiversity loss (see for example the work on planetary boundaries from Rockström and his research team).
Indeed, AI contributing to solve the environmental crisis is a common argument but more and more controversial.
AI is already having a very positive impact in several areas of medicine and biotechnology. AlphaFold is soon to become a service on demand for researchers worldwide. And it will be much cheaper than the laborious structure determination requiring purification and tedious growth of minute protein crystals before a trip to a beam line for x-ray crystallography or time on an expensive cryo-EM.
Interpretation by an MD Radiologist is an expensive and high expertise step before just about any serious imaging result can be used for diagnosis in human health and AI has shown great potential in backing up the radiologist before results are finalized. AI doesn't replace the Radiologist but augments her expertise.
A couple of comments from a retired person who has just found your website and read this post.
This survey is a great idea. I hope you do it every year. Possible additional questions for survey: (1) How much does use of AI currently accelerate development of AI? (2) Please list ways in which AI is currently displacing people in the workforce. For questions that involve written answers, you could have AI summarize responses from thousands of people.
I wonder what Yann LeCun makes of this poll. With his optimistic pronouncements, he seems to be a bit of an outlier in the AI research community.
Congratulations for this awesome work! Furthermore, I think it is important to introduce other metrics regarding environmental issues. For example: how much AI researchers think AI development would actually help solving ecological crisis rather than worsening it? Ecological crisis include various topics such as climate change and biodiversity loss (see for example the work on planetary boundaries from Rockström and his research team).
Indeed, AI contributing to solve the environmental crisis is a common argument but more and more controversial.
Greeting from France
AI is already having a very positive impact in several areas of medicine and biotechnology. AlphaFold is soon to become a service on demand for researchers worldwide. And it will be much cheaper than the laborious structure determination requiring purification and tedious growth of minute protein crystals before a trip to a beam line for x-ray crystallography or time on an expensive cryo-EM.
Interpretation by an MD Radiologist is an expensive and high expertise step before just about any serious imaging result can be used for diagnosis in human health and AI has shown great potential in backing up the radiologist before results are finalized. AI doesn't replace the Radiologist but augments her expertise.