By Katja Grace, 13 April 2020 I. The search for discontinuities We’ve been looking for historic cases of discontinuously fast technological progress, to help with reasoning about the likelihood and consequences of abrupt progress in AI capabilities. We recently finished expanding this investigation to 37 technological trends.[note]Though we haven't yet finished organizing to send bounties to people who earned them by sending us discontinuities. If this is you, you should hear from us soon; sorry for delay and thank you for your help.[/note] This blog post is a quick update on our findings. See
Discontinuous progress in history: an update
Discontinuous progress in history: an update
Discontinuous progress in history: an update
By Katja Grace, 13 April 2020 I. The search for discontinuities We’ve been looking for historic cases of discontinuously fast technological progress, to help with reasoning about the likelihood and consequences of abrupt progress in AI capabilities. We recently finished expanding this investigation to 37 technological trends.[note]Though we haven't yet finished organizing to send bounties to people who earned them by sending us discontinuities. If this is you, you should hear from us soon; sorry for delay and thank you for your help.[/note] This blog post is a quick update on our findings. See