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FAQ: Expert Survey on Progress in AI methodology
Context
Oct 31
•
Katja Grace
6
3
Reanalyzing the 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI
With new charts, and a newly open-source codebase
Dec 16, 2024
•
Ben Weinstein-Raun
6
Winners of the Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy
We’re delighted to announce the winners of the Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy.
Oct 28, 2024
•
Owen Cotton-Barratt
4
2
1
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Survey of 2,778 AI authors: six parts in pictures
Jan 4, 2024
•
Katja Grace
40
4
8
Essay competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy — $25k in prizes
Apr 15, 2024
12
1
Ten arguments that AI is an existential risk
Aug 13, 2024
•
Katja Grace
and
Nathan Young
19
9
3
When scientists consider whether their research will end the world
Dec 19, 2023
•
Harlan Stewart
15
2
3
Let's think about slowing down AI
Dec 22, 2022
•
Katja Grace
11
What happens if you present 500 people with an argument that AI is risky?
Sep 4, 2024
•
Katja Grace
and
Nathan Young
8
6
1
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Discussions
What happens if you present 500 people with an argument that AI is risky?
Recently, Nathan Young and I wrote about arguments for AI risk and put them on the AI Impacts wiki. In the process, we ran a casual little survey of the…
Sep 4, 2024
•
Katja Grace
and
Nathan Young
8
6
1
Ten arguments that AI is an existential risk
and polls on which are the most compelling
Aug 13, 2024
•
Katja Grace
and
Nathan Young
19
9
3
Paper Summary: Princes and Merchants: European City Growth Before the Industrial Revolution
Freer societies have faster economic growth.
Jul 15, 2024
•
Jeffrey Heninger
1
1
Paper Summary: The Effects of Communicating Uncertainty on Public Trust in Facts and Numbers
Numerically expressing uncertainty when talking to the public is fine. It causes people to be less confident in the number itself (as it should), but…
Jul 9, 2024
•
Jeffrey Heninger
1
Advice for Activists from the History of Environmentalism
Other movements should try to avoid becoming as partisan as the environmental movement. Partisanship did not make environmentalism more popular, it made…
May 16, 2024
•
Jeffrey Heninger
1
Was Partisanship Good for the Environmental Movement?
Rising partisanship did not make environmentalism more popular or politically effective. Instead, it saw flat or falling overall public opinion, fewer…
May 15, 2024
•
Jeffrey Heninger
A Narrative History of Environmentalism's Partisanship
This post describes the history of how particular partisan alliances were made involving the environmental movement between 1980 and 2008. Since…
May 14, 2024
•
Jeffrey Heninger
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